Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2546.247908 2760.988548 2979.175907 3217.150014 3469.082826 3727.541878 4012.425373
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2209.011417 2528.193969 2865.239002 3246.467170 3664.471158 4107.655972 4611.845913
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1974.447699 2353.500770 2765.407354 3243.815728 3781.669900 4365.208414 5043.650679
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1834.558492 2261.818000 2737.184384 3301.253760 3948.179222 4662.853571 5507.858033
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1674.826370 2131.289257 2650.404991 3278.606137 4012.193680 4835.803784 5824.205234
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1591.779632 2081.596319 2649.183680 3347.525514 4175.382849 5117.310731 6261.542659
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1494.255382 2006.604162 2611.154360 3366.852009 4275.539513 5322.436300 6608.645306
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1400.029416 1928.889482 2563.866223 3369.624372 4351.551654 5496.078403 6917.018060
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1266.407767 1794.016510 2439.472946 3271.765095 4300.446994 5514.171591 7037.479589
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1241.138073 1794.697404 2481.272887 3376.954142 4495.291242 5826.338554 7509.827756
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1201.590830 1774.052055 2493.977580 3444.161116 4642.576056 6081.233762 7914.644035
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1135.731381 1715.045840 2454.544029 3442.765760 4702.550904 6228.618986 8188.892715
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1057.694431 1637.017244 2388.603492 3406.492749 4718.980416 6324.197746 8403.422305
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1011.938074 1600.699200 2375.492405 3437.107194 4819.544111 6524.289885 8748.239149
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 956.880690 1548.479022 2338.620918 3434.339870 4875.655402 6667.946241 9023.032981
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 929.080794 1533.053844 2349.943898 3494.280660 5012.322491 6913.229088 9426.021007
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 873.396076 1474.803560 2300.379688 3470.647543 5038.393425 7017.403533 9651.481244
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 854.463868 1468.915356 2322.116974 3542.560564 5189.784971 7281.840032 10080.854988
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 819.466201 1437.478837 2306.720489 3562.723714 5272.019540 7457.538819 10398.284256
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 781.079466 1399.052313 2279.801071 3565.615994 5330.227626 7601.826527 10675.931361
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 712.715361 1311.512317 2179.536255 3463.508478 5244.378124 7556.526494 10707.974850
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 711.658214 1328.288965 2230.137218 3573.262687 5446.405859 7889.027047 11230.523520
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 699.115748 1326.246576 2252.779999 3643.367444 5594.722012 8151.893427 11664.489964